A documented supply shortage in the fastest-growing corridor in Texas.
The Austin industrial market has split into two distinct segments with opposite trajectories.
| Metric | Big-Box Logistics | Small-Bay Flex |
|---|---|---|
| Vacancy Rate (Hays County) | 14.9% | 4.9% |
| Austin Metro Vacancy | 13.9% – 21.9% | <5% |
| Rent Trend | Declining 6-7% YoY | Stable to increasing |
| New Supply (2025) | 9.5M SF delivered | Minimal new construction |
| Demand Drivers | E-commerce, 3PL | SMBs, contractors, trades |
| Typical Tenant Size | 100,000+ SF | 1,500 – 5,000 SF |
Sources: Cushman & Wakefield Q4 2025, CBRE Q4 2025, Matthews Q4 2025, Newmark Q4 2025, Blue Collar Commercial Group July 2025
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, World Population Review, Data USA
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Texas Workforce Commission Dec 2025, TxDOT I-35 Link Study May 2025
| Market / Property | Rate ($/SF NNN) | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Flex Average (Q2 2025) | $18.29 | AQUILA / Cushman & Wakefield |
| Kyle, TX (Existing Flex) | $12.00 – $20.00+ | Dacy Business Park Listings |
| SW Austin (New Construction Flex) | $16.50 – $18.00 | Broker Listings 2025 |
| Buda Flex Average | ~$16.00 | CommercialCafe / Broker Data |
| New Braunfels Industrial Average | $15.04 | Broker Data 2025 |
| Our Pro Forma Assumption | $16.00 – $17.50 | Conservative Estimate |