Section 1

The Opportunity

A documented supply shortage in the fastest-growing corridor in Texas.

Market Divergence

A Two-Tier Industrial Market

The Austin industrial market has split into two distinct segments with opposite trajectories.

MetricBig-Box LogisticsSmall-Bay Flex
Vacancy Rate (Hays County)14.9%4.9%
Austin Metro Vacancy13.9% – 21.9%<5%
Rent TrendDeclining 6-7% YoYStable to increasing
New Supply (2025)9.5M SF deliveredMinimal new construction
Demand DriversE-commerce, 3PLSMBs, contractors, trades
Typical Tenant Size100,000+ SF1,500 – 5,000 SF

Sources: Cushman & Wakefield Q4 2025, CBRE Q4 2025, Matthews Q4 2025, Newmark Q4 2025, Blue Collar Commercial Group July 2025

While institutional developers flood the market with massive logistics facilities, almost nobody is building the small-bay flex space that local businesses desperately need. This project fills that gap.
Demographics

The I-35 Growth Corridor

Buda
16,292
from 15,108 (1.2%/yr)
$123,766
Median HHI
San Marcos
~76,000
from 67,553 (2.0%/yr)
$52,566
Median HHI
New Braunfels
122,675
from 90,403 (5.1%/yr)
$88,257
Median HHI

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, World Population Review, Data USA

The County

Hays County: Fastest-Growing in the Nation

3.42%
Annual Growth
3.3%
Unemployment (vs 4.1% TX)
$89K
Median HH Income
123,100
Daily I-35 Traffic (2025)

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Texas Workforce Commission Dec 2025, TxDOT I-35 Link Study May 2025

Rent Analysis

Lease Rate Comparables

Market / PropertyRate ($/SF NNN)Source
Austin Flex Average (Q2 2025)$18.29AQUILA / Cushman & Wakefield
Kyle, TX (Existing Flex)$12.00 – $20.00+Dacy Business Park Listings
SW Austin (New Construction Flex)$16.50 – $18.00Broker Listings 2025
Buda Flex Average~$16.00CommercialCafe / Broker Data
New Braunfels Industrial Average$15.04Broker Data 2025
Our Pro Forma Assumption$16.00 – $17.50Conservative Estimate